On average, the four backs have already returned almost 32 points of dynasty value already. In this article, we will look at recent history to provide some context as to what dynasty value we can expect to see from each positional tier. Do you match up player vs. player and compare them that way? I’ve done the articles on what a dynasty draft pick is actually worth (read it here), but again, what if there are multiple picks/players involved? Understand that some owners will not part for ‘just’ market value, that they want more. That sample size includes some really good careers. Fantasy Football Dynasty Trade Chart: Updated top 150 shows value of Saquon Barkley, Courtland Sutton, more At the quarter-way mark of the NFL season, here's how Dynasty values … With only a couple of exceptions, the running backs have been the better choice. This trade chart was built with a 12-team, full-PPR setting in mind. In order to crack a starting lineup on a consistent basis, you want your wide receiver to post WR3 or better numbers, so to see the 52.3 percent mark doesn’t inspire the most confidence, but the 40.2 percent mark of WR2 or better performances is a great mark. Practice fast mock drafts with our free Mock Draft Simulator >>. It’s important to note that running backs don’t often take time to develop, meaning the most recent rookies won’t negatively impact the results like the wide receivers do, as they take a bit more time to catch up with the speed of the NFL. To be clear, the advice here is not to just plug the NFL Draft results into these tiers and then view that order as gospel. The dynasty trade value chart is tailored to 12-team PPR leagues a starting lineup of one quarterback, two running backs, three wide receivers, one tight end, and one flex. Now stop yourself and ask, “Would I trade my first-round pick for Jamison Crowder‘s career?” No, right? That doesn’t work when you have a stud being traded away for depth. We can use these tiers as a guide while still leaving plenty of room to customize the final rankings as we see fit. While the recent numbers have been ugly, we do have to use some common sense here. Of the 22 running backs selected in this range, they’ve averaged 38.2 games in their career, so actually more than the running backs drafted in the 13-18 range, but let’s be clear, they didn’t help your fantasy team judging by their numbers. It’s widely known in the dynasty community that wide receivers have a much longer shelf life than running backs. Five of the nine are premium dynasty assets and producers. Win as many trades as possible. There are also diminishing returns in terms of value-added versus complexity the further back we go. What do the value numbers for past seasons mean? We have to go all the way back to Trent Richardson in 2012 to find a running back drafted in the top-20 overall who was a bust. Every player/pick has a value and you’re now going to know what it should take to acquire any of them. FantasyPros Football Podcast: Trade Candidates + Rankings Risers & Fallers: Week 9, Running Back Handcuff Rankings: Week 9 (2020), Quarterback & Tight End Streamers: Week 9 (2020 Fantasy Football), Fantasy Football Kicker Guide Week 9 (2020), Players to Cut: Week 9 (2020 Fantasy Football), Let's Stream Defenses: Week 9 (2020 Fantasy Football), No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. Another thing to note, as someone comments on it all the time in my Dynasty Trade Value Chart, is that when trading away or for future draft picks, you don’t know if that pick will be the first pick or the fifth pick, though we can usually look at rosters to see if a team is rebuilding and which will contend for championships, which, in turn, give you a worse draft pick. While we have a small sample size here, the numbers are still rather staggering. Metcalf and others from this group are also going off the board very high in dynasty startup drafts. All four also have serious trade value (and expected future production) currently. If we expand our sample size to look at the last seven classes, it just confirms the tremendous value we should expect these highly-drafted rookie backs because the only two backs added to our sample from those previous three classes were Todd Gurley and Melvin Gordon III. Again, when trading for a pick in this range, you are trading with a team that’s very likely to make the playoffs, which means they were already good. The averages are a little bit skewed by the presence of Alvin Kamara, who raises the average value of the group by over seven points. Every year, there will be some who tell you it’s a generational class and that it’s different, but we’ve legitimately gone through more than a decade of results and shown the actual value of rookie draft picks. Disclosures. Over the past four years, we have had four running backs selected in the top-20 overall (one in 2016, two in 2017, one in 2018, and none in 2019). After signing his new contract, Derrick Henry’s dynasty trade value went up. Both have already returned a massive amount of fantasy value in their careers to date. Understand that when it says top-three pick, it’s because when trading for a future draft pick, you don’t know what exact pick it will be. It should also be noted that the more players that are added in on one side, the more they’re devalued. After all, that’s the whole idea, right? The receivers being taken in this range pre-NFL Draft are Jalen Reagor, Tee Higgins, Henry Ruggs, Justin Jefferson, and Laviska Shenault. Dynasty Rankings Movement, Week 9 - Tefertiller, Upgrades, Downgrades, and Waiver Wire Wonders - Sigmund Bloom, What You Need to Know From Week 7 - Bloom, Footballguys DFS Power Grid Week 8 - John Lee, Devin Knotts, Austin Lee, Phil Alexander, What You Need to Know From Week 8 - Bloom (11/3), 2020 Season Long Coverage: Week 9 - Staff (11/3), Dynasty News, Week 9 - Tefertiller (11/3), Dynasty Rankings Movement, Week 9 - Tefertiller (11/3), Fantasy Overview - Week 9 - Haseley (11/3), Dynasty Trade Value Chart: November - Hindery (11/3), Cutting the Cord: Week 9 - Parsons (11/3), Waivers of the Future 9 - Simpkins (11/2), Monday Injury Rounds: Week 9 - Bramel (11/1), Cracking FanDuel: Week 8 - Knotts (10/31), 2020 Season Long Coverage: Week 8 - Staff (10/31), Gameday Injury Expectations: Week 8 - Bramel (10/30), Beating the Odds: Week 8 - Zamichieli (10/30), FanDuel GPP Guide: Week 8 - Hindery (10/30), DraftKings GPP Domination: Week 8 - Alexander (10/30), The Replacements Week 8 - Waldman (10/29), New Reality: Dynasty Trading - Parsons (10/29), Monkey Knife Fight Player Props, Week 8 - Hindery (10/29), Eliminator Pool: Week 8 - Pasquino (10/29), #Trendspotting: Week 8 - Zamichieli (10/29), Regression Alert: Week 8 - Harstad (10/29), Injury Expectations | Midweek Update | Week 8 - Bramel (10/28), Random Shots From Week 7 - Bryant (10/28), Rushing Matchup Chart Week 8 - Staff (10/28), Passing Matchup Chart Week 8 - Staff (10/28), Bottom 5 Passing Matchups Week 8 - Staff (10/28), Bottom 5 Rushing Matchups Week 8 - Staff (10/28), Top 5 Passing Matchups Week 8 - Staff (10/28), Top Rushing Matchups Week 8 - Staff (10/28), Eyes of the Guru IDP Info, Week 8 - Norton (10/28), Chase Claypool and JuJu Smith-Schuster: Trading Places?
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